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MVB Financial Corp. GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, October 5th, 2026

1 Day

28.27%

increased by 0.53%

1 Week

29.07%

increased by 1.33%

1 Month

31.80%

increased by 4.06%

Analysis last updated: Friday, October 2, 2026 at 10:10 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/02/2024

to

10/02/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of MVB Financial Corp. GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

May 20, 2002 to Oct 2, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 48 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 48 days.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 48-day half-life
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.1370
3.41***
αARCH0.0714
3.33***
βGARCH0.8783
51.84***
γleverage0.0721
1.14

0.986

Persistence

48d

Half-life
σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.1370
3.41***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0714
3.33***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8783
51.84***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0721
1.14

Persistence:

0.986

Half-life:

48 days