V-Lab
MVB Financial Corp. GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, September 16th, 2026
1 Day
22.95%
decreased by 0.46%
1 Week
24.10%
increased by 0.69%
1 Month
27.89%
increased by 4.48%
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, September 16, 2026 at 02:17 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
May 20, 2002 to Sep 11, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 48 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 48 days.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
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Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 48-day half-life
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 0.1390 | 3.38*** |
| αARCH | 0.0718 | 3.33*** |
| βGARCH | 0.8774 | 51.08*** |
| γleverage | 0.0729 | 1.15 |
0.986
Persistence48d
Half-lifeσ
GJR-GARCH Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.1390 | 3.38*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0718 | 3.33*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8774 | 51.08*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0729 | 1.15 |
Persistence:
0.986
Half-life:
48 days
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