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V-Lab

MVB Financial Corp. GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Thursday, August 6th, 2026

1 Day

31.62%

increased by 1.01%

1 Week

32.45%

increased by 1.84%

1 Month

35.54%

increased by 4.93%

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 5, 2026 at 09:17 PM UTC

Date Range:

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to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

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graph of MVB Financial Corp. GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

May 20, 2002 to Jul 31, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.997, volatility shocks have a half-life of 273 trading days (~1.1 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 3.66 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

45.8732
8.19***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1037
70.12***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9975
3,107.37***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

3.6570
43.44***

Persistence:

0.997

Half-life:

273 days