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V-Lab

MVB Financial Corp. GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 26th, 2026

1 Day

25.51%

decreased by 1.67%

1 Week

26.52%

decreased by 0.66%

1 Month

30.15%

increased by 2.97%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 25, 2026 at 09:16 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

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graph of MVB Financial Corp. GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

May 20, 2002 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.998, volatility shocks have a half-life of 293 trading days (~1.2 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 3.70 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

46.6631
8.23***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1024
69.71***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9976
3,314.42***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

3.7036
41.38***

Persistence:

0.998

Half-life:

293 days