V-Lab
MVB Financial Corp. MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 26th, 2026
1 Day
24.24%
decreased by 0.86%
1 Week
26.03%
increased by 0.93%
1 Month
29.76%
increased by 4.66%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 25, 2026 at 09:16 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
May 20, 2002 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 203% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 41 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0579 | 12.36*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7608 | 95.45*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.1179 | 13.90*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 1.4111 | 0.54 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.7579 | 0.51 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
Persistence:
0.878
Half-life:
5 days
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