V-Lab
MVB Financial Corp. MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Thursday, August 6th, 2026
1 Day
26.65%
increased by 0.55%
1 Week
28.67%
increased by 2.57%
1 Month
32.33%
increased by 6.23%
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 5, 2026 at 09:17 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
May 20, 2002 to Jul 31, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 208% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 41 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0573 | 12.23*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7610 | 95.88*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.1191 | 13.97*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 1.4949 | 0.53 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.7511 | 0.51 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
Persistence:
0.878
Half-life:
5 days
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