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V-Lab

MVB Financial Corp. MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Thursday, August 6th, 2026

1 Day

26.65%

increased by 0.55%

1 Week

28.67%

increased by 2.57%

1 Month

32.33%

increased by 6.23%

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 5, 2026 at 09:17 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of MVB Financial Corp. MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

May 20, 2002 to Jul 31, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 208% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

41
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0573
12.23***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7610
95.88***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1191
13.97***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

1.4949
0.53
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.7511
0.51
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.0000
0.00

Persistence:

0.878

Half-life:

5 days