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V-Lab

MVB Financial Corp. MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, October 5th, 2026

1 Day

26.45%

increased by 0.15%

1 Week

27.45%

increased by 1.15%

1 Month

30.32%

increased by 4.02%

Analysis last updated: Friday, October 2, 2026 at 10:11 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/02/2024

to

10/02/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of MVB Financial Corp. MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

May 20, 2002 to Oct 2, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 201% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Leverage: Negative returns increase volatility 201% more than positive returns
ParamValuet-stat
mwindow41
αARCH0.0568
3.96***
βGARCH0.7699
27.54***
γleverage0.1139
2.92***
λ₁tau intercept1.3878
2.45**
λ₂forecast adj.0.7598
6.07***
λ₃tau persistence0.0000
0.00

0.884

Persistence

6d

Half-life
σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

41
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0568
3.96***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7699
27.54***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1139
2.92***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

1.3878
2.45**
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.7598
6.07***
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.0000
0.00

Persistence:

0.884

Half-life:

6 days