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V-Lab

MVB Financial Corp. Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Thursday, August 6th, 2026

1 Day

26.88%

increased by 0.03%

1 Week

27.77%

increased by 0.92%

1 Month

29.91%

increased by 3.06%

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 5, 2026 at 09:17 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of MVB Financial Corp. S0GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

May 20, 2002 to Jul 31, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so volatility mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 9 trading days.

τ

Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

2.6665
2.82***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1376
5.84***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7879
27.32***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=9
γ10.8328
1.33
γ2-0.5842
-0.63
γ3-0.4125
-0.56
γ40.9703
1.40
γ5-2.2840
-2.81***
γ62.8572
3.50***
γ7-2.0157
-2.94***
γ80.5066
0.74
γ90.3233
0.65

Persistence:

0.926

Half-life:

9 days