V-Lab
Buda Juice Inc MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, September 14th, 2026
1 Day
37.24%
1 Week
70,081,089,032.63%
1 Month
10,718,571,919,803,496,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000.00%
Analysis last updated: Saturday, September 12, 2026 at 02:41 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 8, 2026 to Sep 11, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| mwindow | 46 | |
| αARCH | 0.0000 | 0.08 |
| βGARCH | 0.0000 | 0.34 |
| γleverage | 0.4722 | 45.65*** |
| λ₁tau intercept | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
| λ₂forecast adj. | 0.2889 | 26.40*** |
| λ₃tau persistence | 0.0000 | 0.02 |
0.236
Persistence0d
Half-lifeMF2-GARCH Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 46 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0000 | 0.08 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.0000 | 0.34 |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.4722 | 45.65*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.2889 | 26.40*** |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.0000 | 0.02 |
Persistence:
0.236
Half-life:
0 days
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