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V-Lab

Buda Juice Inc MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026

1 Day

16.11%

increased by 0.40%

1 Week

14.00%

decreased by 1.71%

1 Month

9.31%

decreased by 6.40%

Analysis last updated: Friday, August 21, 2026 at 11:15 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

All

graph of Buda Juice Inc MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 8, 2026 to Aug 21, 2026
Boundary Parameters

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

76
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0278
676.83***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.5819
1,293.17***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.5000
1,886.79***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0000
1.50
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0001
18.40***
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.0540
3,176.94***

Persistence:

0.860

Half-life:

5 days