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V-Lab

Buda Juice Inc MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026

1 Day

78.62%

increased by 6.38%

1 Week

80.03%

increased by 7.79%

1 Month

90.78%

increased by 18.54%

Analysis last updated: Friday, July 24, 2026 at 11:06 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

All

graph of Buda Juice Inc MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 8, 2026 to Jul 24, 2026
Boundary Parameters

Model Insight

With persistence 0.998, volatility shocks have a half-life of 292 trading days (~1.2 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

Inverse leverage: volatility responds almost entirely to positive returns

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

26
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2373
90.35***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8790
316.19***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.2373
-20.17***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

10.0000
2.51**
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.2722
2.87***
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.7278
5.33***

Persistence:

0.998

Half-life:

292 days