V-Lab
Buda Juice Inc MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026
1 Day
16.11%
increased by 0.40%
1 Week
14.00%
decreased by 1.71%
1 Month
9.31%
decreased by 6.40%
Analysis last updated: Friday, August 21, 2026 at 11:15 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 8, 2026 to Aug 21, 2026Boundary Parameters
Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 76 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0278 | 676.83*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.5819 | 1,293.17*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.5000 | 1,886.79*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.0000 | 1.50 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0001 | 18.40*** |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.0540 | 3,176.94*** |
Persistence:
0.860
Half-life:
5 days
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