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V-Lab

Tesla Inc MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026

1 Day

79.51%

decreased by 3.39%

1 Week

76.76%

decreased by 6.14%

1 Month

70.41%

decreased by 12.49%

Analysis last updated: Friday, July 24, 2026 at 10:11 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Tesla Inc MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jun 29, 2010 to Jul 24, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 139% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

66
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0204
3.21***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8686
49.06***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0283
6.14***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

3.2070
0.07
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.7535
0.07
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.0000
0.00

Persistence:

0.903

Half-life:

7 days