V-Lab
Tesla Inc MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026
1 Day
79.51%
decreased by 3.39%
1 Week
76.76%
decreased by 6.14%
1 Month
70.41%
decreased by 12.49%
Analysis last updated: Friday, July 24, 2026 at 10:11 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jun 29, 2010 to Jul 24, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 139% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 66 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0204 | 3.21*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8686 | 49.06*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0283 | 6.14*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 3.2070 | 0.07 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.7535 | 0.07 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
Persistence:
0.903
Half-life:
7 days
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