V-Lab
Tesla Inc EGARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, September 14th, 2026
1 Day
54.87%
decreased by 1.59%
1 Week
55.28%
decreased by 1.18%
1 Month
56.79%
increased by 0.33%
Analysis last updated: Friday, September 11, 2026 at 11:31 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jun 29, 2010 to Sep 11, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 38 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 38 days.
σ
EGARCH Model
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Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 38-day half-life
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 0.0528 | 3.45*** |
| αARCH | 0.0966 | 3.77*** |
| βGARCH | 0.9818 | 172.61*** |
| γleverage | -0.0045 | -0.22 |
0.982
Persistence38d
Half-lifeσ
EGARCH Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0528 | 3.45*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0966 | 3.77*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9818 | 172.61*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0045 | -0.22 |
Persistence:
0.982
Half-life:
38 days
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