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Tesla Inc GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, October 5th, 2026

1 Day

48.21%

increased by 1.06%

1 Week

48.40%

increased by 1.25%

1 Month

49.11%

increased by 1.96%

Analysis last updated: Friday, October 2, 2026 at 11:06 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/02/2024

to

10/02/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Tesla Inc GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jun 29, 2010 to Oct 2, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 62 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 62 days.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 62-day half-life
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.1391
3.34***
αARCH0.0304
2.61***
βGARCH0.9582
104.55***
γleverage0.0007
0.04

0.989

Persistence

62d

Half-life
σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.1391
3.34***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0304
2.61***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9582
104.55***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0007
0.04

Persistence:

0.989

Half-life:

62 days