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V-Lab

Tesla Inc GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026

1 Day

67.38%

decreased by 0.93%

1 Week

67.17%

decreased by 1.14%

1 Month

66.40%

decreased by 1.91%

Analysis last updated: Friday, July 24, 2026 at 10:10 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

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graph of Tesla Inc GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jun 29, 2010 to Jul 24, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 62 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 62 days.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.1429
13.30***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0306
10.34***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9572
409.43***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0022
0.45

Persistence:

0.989

Half-life:

62 days