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Coca-Cola Co/The GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, October 5th, 2026

1 Day

15.42%

decreased by 0.16%

1 Week

15.58%

increased by 0.00%

1 Month

16.17%

increased by 0.59%

Analysis last updated: Friday, October 2, 2026 at 11:44 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/02/2024

to

10/02/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Coca-Cola Co/The GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 2, 1990 to Oct 2, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.994, volatility shocks have a half-life of 118 trading days (~0.5 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

Leverage: Negative returns increase volatility 214% more than positive returns

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

High persistence: persistence 0.994, shock half-life ~118 daysLeverage: Negative returns increase volatility 214% more than positive returns
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.0154
4.22***
αARCH0.0266
3.83***
βGARCH0.9391
124.72***
γleverage0.0569
3.71***

0.994

Persistence

118d

Half-life
σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0154
4.22***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0266
3.83***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9391
124.72***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0569
3.71***

Persistence:

0.994

Half-life:

118 days