V-Lab
Coca-Cola Co/The MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, October 5th, 2026
1 Day
18.64%
decreased by 0.14%
1 Week
19.23%
increased by 0.45%
1 Month
19.84%
increased by 1.06%
Analysis last updated: Friday, October 2, 2026 at 11:51 PM UTC
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News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 2, 1990 to Oct 2, 2026Stationarity Enforced
Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
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Leverage: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| mwindow | 66 | |
| αARCH | 0.0237 | 2.40** |
| βGARCH | 0.7826 | 26.57*** |
| γleverage | 0.1147 | 4.79*** |
| λ₁tau intercept | 0.0236 | 1.82* |
| λ₂forecast adj. | 0.1165 | 2.17** |
| λ₃tau persistence | 0.8705 | 14.87*** |
0.864
Persistence5d
Half-lifeσ
MF2-GARCH Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 66 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0237 | 2.40** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7826 | 26.57*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.1147 | 4.79*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.0236 | 1.82* |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.1165 | 2.17** |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.8705 | 14.87*** |
Persistence:
0.864
Half-life:
5 days
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