V-Lab
Coca-Cola Co/The MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, September 14th, 2026
1 Day
19.63%
decreased by 0.40%
1 Week
20.32%
increased by 0.29%
1 Month
21.69%
increased by 1.66%
Analysis last updated: Saturday, September 12, 2026 at 12:17 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 2, 1990 to Sep 11, 2026Stationarity Enforced
Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
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Leverage: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| mwindow | 66 | |
| αARCH | 0.0232 | 2.35** |
| βGARCH | 0.7817 | 26.32*** |
| γleverage | 0.1150 | 4.80*** |
| λ₁tau intercept | 0.0237 | 1.83* |
| λ₂forecast adj. | 0.1180 | 2.19** |
| λ₃tau persistence | 0.8692 | 14.80*** |
0.862
Persistence5d
Half-lifeσ
MF2-GARCH Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 66 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0232 | 2.35** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7817 | 26.32*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.1150 | 4.80*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.0237 | 1.83* |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.1180 | 2.19** |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.8692 | 14.80*** |
Persistence:
0.862
Half-life:
5 days
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