V-Lab
Buda Juice Inc GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, September 21st, 2026
1 Day
63.85%
decreased by 0.57%
1 Week
65.43%
increased by 1.01%
1 Month
68.54%
increased by 4.12%
Analysis last updated: Friday, September 18, 2026 at 11:55 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 8, 2026 to Sep 18, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 6 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 6 days.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
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Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 6-day half-life
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 2.2608 | 0.70 |
| αARCH | 0.0808 | 0.78 |
| βGARCH | 0.7910 | 3.67*** |
| γleverage | 0.0329 | 0.13 |
0.888
Persistence6d
Half-lifeσ
GJR-GARCH Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 2.2608 | 0.70 |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0808 | 0.78 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7910 | 3.67*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0329 | 0.13 |
Persistence:
0.888
Half-life:
6 days
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