Buda Juice Inc GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Friday, October 23rd, 2026
1 Day
76.68%
increased by 17.50%
1 Week
75.06%
increased by 15.88%
1 Month
72.39%
increased by 13.21%
Analysis last updated: Thursday, October 22, 2026 at 09:50 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 8, 2026 to Oct 16, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 4 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 4 days.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
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Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 4-day half-life
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 3.1501 | 0.76 |
| αARCH | 0.0840 | 0.77 |
| βGARCH | 0.7460 | 2.76*** |
| γleverage | 0.0211 | 0.08 |
0.840
Persistence4d
Half-lifeσ
GJR-GARCH Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 3.1501 | 0.76 |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0840 | 0.77 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7460 | 2.76*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0211 | 0.08 |
Persistence:
0.840
Half-life:
4 days
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