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Buda Juice Inc GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Friday, October 23rd, 2026

1 Day

76.68%

increased by 17.50%

1 Week

75.06%

increased by 15.88%

1 Month

72.39%

increased by 13.21%

Analysis last updated: Thursday, October 22, 2026 at 09:50 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/22/2024

to

10/22/2026

6M ·

All

graph of Buda Juice Inc GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 8, 2026 to Oct 16, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 4 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 4 days.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

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Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 4-day half-life
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst3.1501
0.76
αARCH0.0840
0.77
βGARCH0.7460
2.76***
γleverage0.0211
0.08

0.840

Persistence

4d

Half-life
σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

3.1501
0.76
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0840
0.77
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7460
2.76***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0211
0.08

Persistence:

0.840

Half-life:

4 days