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Goldman Sachs Group Inc/The GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Friday, October 2nd, 2026

1 Day

31.24%

decreased by 0.87%

1 Week

31.31%

decreased by 0.80%

1 Month

31.57%

decreased by 0.54%

Analysis last updated: Thursday, October 1, 2026 at 11:10 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/01/2024

to

10/01/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Goldman Sachs Group Inc/The GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

May 4, 1999 to Sep 25, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 233% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Leverage: Negative returns increase volatility 233% more than positive returns
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.0497
4.01***
αARCH0.0272
3.57***
βGARCH0.9306
130.21***
γleverage0.0633
3.39***

0.989

Persistence

66d

Half-life
σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0497
4.01***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0272
3.57***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9306
130.21***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0633
3.39***

Persistence:

0.989

Half-life:

66 days