V-Lab
Goldman Sachs Group Inc/The GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Friday, October 2nd, 2026
1 Day
31.24%
decreased by 0.87%
1 Week
31.31%
decreased by 0.80%
1 Month
31.57%
decreased by 0.54%
Analysis last updated: Thursday, October 1, 2026 at 11:10 PM UTC
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News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
May 4, 1999 to Sep 25, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 233% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
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Leverage: Negative returns increase volatility 233% more than positive returns
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 0.0497 | 4.01*** |
| αARCH | 0.0272 | 3.57*** |
| βGARCH | 0.9306 | 130.21*** |
| γleverage | 0.0633 | 3.39*** |
0.989
Persistence66d
Half-lifeσ
GJR-GARCH Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0497 | 4.01*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0272 | 3.57*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9306 | 130.21*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0633 | 3.39*** |
Persistence:
0.989
Half-life:
66 days
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