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Goldman Sachs Group Inc/The GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Thursday, September 10th, 2026

1 Day

28.21%

decreased by 0.56%

1 Week

28.35%

decreased by 0.42%

1 Month

28.90%

increased by 0.13%

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, September 9, 2026 at 09:39 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Goldman Sachs Group Inc/The GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

May 4, 1999 to Sep 4, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 233% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Leverage: Negative returns increase volatility 233% more than positive returns
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.0501
4.01***
αARCH0.0274
3.56***
βGARCH0.9302
129.23***
γleverage0.0637
3.39***

0.989

Persistence

65d

Half-life
σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0501
4.01***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0274
3.56***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9302
129.23***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0637
3.39***

Persistence:

0.989

Half-life:

65 days