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Goldman Sachs Group Inc/The GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, October 19th, 2026

1 Day

25.85%

decreased by 0.11%

1 Week

26.06%

increased by 0.10%

1 Month

26.83%

increased by 0.87%

Analysis last updated: Friday, October 16, 2026 at 11:15 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/16/2024

to

10/16/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Goldman Sachs Group Inc/The GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

May 4, 1999 to Oct 16, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 225% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Leverage: Negative returns increase volatility 225% more than positive returns
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.0506
4.04***
αARCH0.0280
3.59***
βGARCH0.9296
127.87***
γleverage0.0630
3.34***

0.989

Persistence

64d

Half-life
σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0506
4.04***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0280
3.59***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9296
127.87***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0630
3.34***

Persistence:

0.989

Half-life:

64 days