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V-Lab

Chevron Corp GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 10th, 2026

1 Day

25.80%

increased by 0.09%

1 Week

25.77%

increased by 0.06%

1 Month

25.66%

decreased by 0.05%

Analysis last updated: Friday, August 7, 2026 at 10:33 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Chevron Corp GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 2, 1990 to Aug 7, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 174% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0420
20.70***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0345
16.65***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9183
457.31***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0602
12.69***

Persistence:

0.983

Half-life:

40 days