V-Lab
Liberty Defense Holdings Ltd GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026
1 Day
54.82%
decreased by 8.83%
1 Week
59.19%
decreased by 4.46%
1 Month
71.39%
increased by 7.74%
Analysis last updated: Friday, July 24, 2026 at 09:37 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Apr 22, 2026 to Jul 24, 2026Model Insight
This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: positive returns raise next-day volatility 224% more than negative returns. Volatility rises more after gains than after losses, the reverse of the usual leverage effect and uncommon among risky assets.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.4341 | 5.46*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.5486 | 4.90*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.6065 | 16.12*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.3791 | -2.91*** |
Persistence:
0.965
Half-life:
20 days
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