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V-Lab

Liberty Defense Holdings Ltd GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 12th, 2026

1 Day

141.15%

decreased by 62.43%

1 Week

109.76%

decreased by 93.82%

1 Month

77.30%

decreased by 126.28%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 11, 2026 at 09:57 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

All

graph of Liberty Defense Holdings Ltd GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Apr 22, 2026 to Aug 7, 2026

Model Insight

This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to positive returns, rising far more after gains than after losses. This is the reverse of the usual leverage effect, rare among risky assets.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

5.0000
5.36***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.4056
3.57***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.4438
5.44***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.3790
-2.79***

Persistence:

0.660

Half-life:

2 days