V-Lab
Liberty Defense Holdings Ltd GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 12th, 2026
1 Day
141.15%
decreased by 62.43%
1 Week
109.76%
decreased by 93.82%
1 Month
77.30%
decreased by 126.28%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 11, 2026 at 09:57 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Apr 22, 2026 to Aug 7, 2026Model Insight
This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to positive returns, rising far more after gains than after losses. This is the reverse of the usual leverage effect, rare among risky assets.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 5.0000 | 5.36*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.4056 | 3.57*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.4438 | 5.44*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.3790 | -2.79*** |
Persistence:
0.660
Half-life:
2 days
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