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V-Lab

Liberty Defense Holdings Ltd GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026

1 Day

54.82%

decreased by 8.83%

1 Week

59.19%

decreased by 4.46%

1 Month

71.39%

increased by 7.74%

Analysis last updated: Friday, July 24, 2026 at 09:37 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

All

graph of Liberty Defense Holdings Ltd GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Apr 22, 2026 to Jul 24, 2026

Model Insight

This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: positive returns raise next-day volatility 224% more than negative returns. Volatility rises more after gains than after losses, the reverse of the usual leverage effect and uncommon among risky assets.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.4341
5.46***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.5486
4.90***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.6065
16.12***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.3791
-2.91***

Persistence:

0.965

Half-life:

20 days