V-Lab
Liberty Defense Holdings Ltd GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026
1 Day
99.46%
increased by 17.55%
1 Week
99.16%
increased by 17.25%
1 Month
98.26%
increased by 16.35%
Analysis last updated: Friday, August 21, 2026 at 09:44 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Apr 22, 2026 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 16 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 16 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 2.87 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.
𝑓
GAS-GARCH-T Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 36.3367 | 2.79*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1215 | 13.08*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9585 | 69.65*** |
ν DF Student-t tail thickness | 2.8740 | 8.45*** |
Persistence:
0.959
Half-life:
16 days
Other Liberty Defense Holdings Ltd Analyses
Other GAS-GARCH Student T Analyses on Equities