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V-Lab

Liberty Defense Holdings Ltd GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026

1 Day

99.46%

increased by 17.55%

1 Week

99.16%

increased by 17.25%

1 Month

98.26%

increased by 16.35%

Analysis last updated: Friday, August 21, 2026 at 09:44 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

All

graph of Liberty Defense Holdings Ltd GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Apr 22, 2026 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 16 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 16 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 2.87 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

36.3367
2.79***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1215
13.08***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9585
69.65***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

2.8740
8.45***

Persistence:

0.959

Half-life:

16 days