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V-Lab

Liberty Defense Holdings Ltd GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026

1 Day

54.11%

decreased by 4.42%

1 Week

55.69%

decreased by 2.84%

1 Month

60.41%

increased by 1.88%

Analysis last updated: Friday, July 24, 2026 at 09:38 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

All

graph of Liberty Defense Holdings Ltd GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Apr 22, 2026 to Jul 24, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 19 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 19 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 10.10 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

21.3404
3.33***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2227
3.96***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9632
66.76***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

10.1016
0.58

Persistence:

0.963

Half-life:

19 days