V-Lab
Liberty Defense Holdings Ltd EGARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, August 10th, 2026
1 Day
59.69%
decreased by 10.51%
1 Week
60.11%
decreased by 10.09%
1 Month
60.65%
decreased by 9.55%
Analysis last updated: Friday, August 7, 2026 at 09:42 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Apr 22, 2026 to Aug 7, 2026Model Insight
This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: positive returns raise next-day volatility 90% more than negative returns. Volatility rises more after gains than after losses, the reverse of the usual leverage effect and uncommon among risky assets.
σ
EGARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.5767 | 5.96*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.3770 | 6.98*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7856 | 24.07*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.1169 | 2.15** |
Persistence:
0.786
Half-life:
3 days
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