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V-Lab

Liberty Defense Holdings Ltd EGARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 10th, 2026

1 Day

59.69%

decreased by 10.51%

1 Week

60.11%

decreased by 10.09%

1 Month

60.65%

decreased by 9.55%

Analysis last updated: Friday, August 7, 2026 at 09:42 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

All

graph of Liberty Defense Holdings Ltd EGARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Apr 22, 2026 to Aug 7, 2026

Model Insight

This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: positive returns raise next-day volatility 90% more than negative returns. Volatility rises more after gains than after losses, the reverse of the usual leverage effect and uncommon among risky assets.

σ

EGARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.5767
5.96***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.3770
6.98***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7856
24.07***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1169
2.15**

Persistence:

0.786

Half-life:

3 days