AI Financial Corp EGARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, July 15th, 2026
1 Day
81.50%
decreased by 2.89%
1 Week
87.05%
increased by 2.66%
1 Month
104.79%
increased by 20.40%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 14, 2026 at 09:14 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Nov 7, 1991 to Jul 10, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 11 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 11 days.
σ
EGARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.2698 | 16.69*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2687 | 34.14*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9383 | 242.21*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0183 | 1.87* |
Persistence:
0.938
Half-life:
11 days
Other AI Financial Corp Analyses
Other EGARCH Analyses on Equities