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V-Lab

AI Financial Corp EGARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, July 15th, 2026

1 Day

81.50%

decreased by 2.89%

1 Week

87.05%

increased by 2.66%

1 Month

104.79%

increased by 20.40%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 14, 2026 at 09:14 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

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graph of AI Financial Corp EGARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Nov 7, 1991 to Jul 10, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 11 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 11 days.

σ

EGARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.2698
16.69***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2687
34.14***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9383
242.21***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0183
1.87*

Persistence:

0.938

Half-life:

11 days