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Micron Technology Inc GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, October 27th, 2026

1 Day

60.92%

decreased by 0.34%

1 Week

60.93%

decreased by 0.33%

1 Month

60.96%

decreased by 0.30%

Analysis last updated: Monday, October 26, 2026 at 09:27 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/26/2024

to

10/26/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Micron Technology Inc GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 1, 1990 to Oct 23, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.996, volatility shocks have a half-life of 161 trading days (~0.6 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 7.23 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

High persistence: persistence 0.996, shock half-life ~161 daysv = 7.23 · fat tails
ParamValuet-stat
ωlong-run15.2228
1.12
αscore0.0441
8.66***
βpersistence0.9957
251.19***
νDF7.2333
1.51

0.996

Persistence

161d

Half-life
𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

long-run

Long-run variance given a price move

15.2228
1.12
α

score

Weight on the scaled score

0.0441
8.66***
β

persistence

Volatility persistence

0.9957
251.19***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

7.2333
1.51

Persistence:

0.996

Half-life:

161 days