Micron Technology Inc GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, October 27th, 2026
1 Day
60.92%
1 Week
60.93%
1 Month
60.96%
Analysis last updated: Monday, October 26, 2026 at 09:27 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 1, 1990 to Oct 23, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.996, volatility shocks have a half-life of 161 trading days (~0.6 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 7.23 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.
GAS-GARCH-T Model
Tap to view equation
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωlong-run | 15.2228 | 1.12 |
| αscore | 0.0441 | 8.66*** |
| βpersistence | 0.9957 | 251.19*** |
| νDF | 7.2333 | 1.51 |
0.996
Persistence161d
Half-lifeGAS-GARCH-T Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω long-run Long-run variance given a price move | 15.2228 | 1.12 |
α score Weight on the scaled score | 0.0441 | 8.66*** |
β persistence Volatility persistence | 0.9957 | 251.19*** |
ν DF Student-t tail thickness | 7.2333 | 1.51 |
Persistence:
0.996
Half-life:
161 days
Other Micron Technology Inc Analyses
Other GAS-GARCH Student T Analyses on Equities