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Micron Technology Inc GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, September 15th, 2026

1 Day

72.98%

increased by 1.73%

1 Week

72.87%

increased by 1.62%

1 Month

72.46%

increased by 1.21%

Analysis last updated: Monday, September 14, 2026 at 09:31 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

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graph of Micron Technology Inc GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 1, 1990 to Sep 11, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.995, volatility shocks have a half-life of 149 trading days (~0.6 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 6.64 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

High persistence: persistence 0.995, shock half-life ~149 daysv = 6.64 · fat tails
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst14.5518
1.13
αARCH0.0425
8.50***
βGARCH0.9954
237.67***
νDF6.6425
1.67*

0.995

Persistence

149d

Half-life
𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

14.5518
1.13
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0425
8.50***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9954
237.67***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

6.6425
1.67*

Persistence:

0.995

Half-life:

149 days