V-Lab
Micron Technology Inc GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 26th, 2026
1 Day
88.81%
decreased by 2.11%
1 Week
88.61%
decreased by 2.31%
1 Month
87.81%
decreased by 3.11%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 25, 2026 at 09:28 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 1, 1990 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.996, volatility shocks have a half-life of 158 trading days (~0.6 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 6.65 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.
𝑓
GAS-GARCH-T Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 14.8242 | 4.58*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0421 | 35.29*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9956 | 1,024.30*** |
ν DF Student-t tail thickness | 6.6483 | 6.94*** |
Persistence:
0.996
Half-life:
158 days
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