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Micron Technology Inc GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, October 6th, 2026

1 Day

57.39%

decreased by 1.63%

1 Week

57.41%

decreased by 1.61%

1 Month

57.52%

decreased by 1.50%

Analysis last updated: Monday, October 5, 2026 at 09:31 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/05/2024

to

10/05/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Micron Technology Inc GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 1, 1990 to Oct 2, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.995, volatility shocks have a half-life of 143 trading days (~0.6 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 6.65 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

High persistence: persistence 0.995, shock half-life ~143 daysv = 6.65 · fat tails
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst14.3683
1.13
αARCH0.0430
8.31***
βGARCH0.9952
225.56***
νDF6.6456
1.63

0.995

Persistence

143d

Half-life
𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

14.3683
1.13
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0430
8.31***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9952
225.56***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

6.6456
1.63

Persistence:

0.995

Half-life:

143 days