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Goldman Sachs Group Inc/The MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Friday, October 2nd, 2026

1 Day

32.49%

decreased by 0.98%

1 Week

32.71%

decreased by 0.76%

1 Month

33.26%

decreased by 0.21%

Analysis last updated: Thursday, October 1, 2026 at 11:11 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/01/2024

to

10/01/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Goldman Sachs Group Inc/The MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

May 4, 1999 to Sep 25, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Leverage: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks
ParamValuet-stat
mwindow66
αARCH0.0200
2.38**
βGARCH0.8921
64.11***
γleverage0.0922
5.44***
λ₁tau intercept0.0117
0.85
λ₂forecast adj.0.0157
1.46
λ₃tau persistence0.9810
67.78***

0.958

Persistence

16d

Half-life
σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

66
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0200
2.38**
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8921
64.11***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0922
5.44***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0117
0.85
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0157
1.46
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9810
67.78***

Persistence:

0.958

Half-life:

16 days