V-Lab
Goldman Sachs Group Inc/The MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Friday, October 2nd, 2026
1 Day
32.49%
decreased by 0.98%
1 Week
32.71%
decreased by 0.76%
1 Month
33.26%
decreased by 0.21%
Analysis last updated: Thursday, October 1, 2026 at 11:11 PM UTC
Press Delete or Backspace to remove this series.
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
May 4, 1999 to Sep 25, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
Leverage: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| mwindow | 66 | |
| αARCH | 0.0200 | 2.38** |
| βGARCH | 0.8921 | 64.11*** |
| γleverage | 0.0922 | 5.44*** |
| λ₁tau intercept | 0.0117 | 0.85 |
| λ₂forecast adj. | 0.0157 | 1.46 |
| λ₃tau persistence | 0.9810 | 67.78*** |
0.958
Persistence16d
Half-lifeσ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 66 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0200 | 2.38** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8921 | 64.11*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0922 | 5.44*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.0117 | 0.85 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0157 | 1.46 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9810 | 67.78*** |
Persistence:
0.958
Half-life:
16 days
Other Goldman Sachs Group Inc/The Analyses
Other MF2-GARCH Analyses on Equities