V-Lab
ChronoScale Holdings Corp MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026
1 Day
122.95%
decreased by 31.44%
1 Week
128.94%
decreased by 25.45%
1 Month
128.84%
decreased by 25.55%
Analysis last updated: Friday, July 24, 2026 at 09:18 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 16, 2014 to Jul 24, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a modest leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 23% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 26 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2690 | 17.44*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.1957 | 8.01*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0612 | 2.06** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 5.2272 | 0.85 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0759 | 0.68 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.7973 | 3.04*** |
Persistence:
0.495
Half-life:
1 days
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