ChronoScale Holdings Corp Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, July 20th, 2026
1 Day
147.42%
decreased by 57.40%
1 Week
149.83%
decreased by 54.99%
1 Month
151.11%
decreased by 53.71%
Analysis last updated: Friday, July 17, 2026 at 09:34 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 16, 2014 to Jul 17, 2026Model Insight
This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so volatility mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 1 trading day.
τ
Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.1807 | 5.25*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2903 | 4.53*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.2569 | 3.12*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=10
| γ1 | -0.5636 | -1.11 |
| γ2 | 1.3653 | 1.82* |
| γ3 | -1.4985 | -2.98*** |
| γ4 | 0.9203 | 1.55 |
| γ5 | 0.1349 | 0.22 |
| γ6 | -1.4169 | -2.56** |
| γ7 | 2.4926 | 4.92*** |
| γ8 | -2.4230 | -5.58*** |
| γ9 | 1.6569 | 3.81*** |
| γ10 | -1.0237 | -2.46** |
Persistence:
0.547
Half-life:
1 days
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