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V-Lab

ChronoScale Holdings Corp Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, July 20th, 2026

1 Day

147.42%

decreased by 57.40%

1 Week

149.83%

decreased by 54.99%

1 Month

151.11%

decreased by 53.71%

Analysis last updated: Friday, July 17, 2026 at 09:34 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of ChronoScale Holdings Corp S0GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 16, 2014 to Jul 17, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so volatility mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 1 trading day.

τ

Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.1807
5.25***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2903
4.53***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.2569
3.12***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=10
γ1-0.5636
-1.11
γ21.3653
1.82*
γ3-1.4985
-2.98***
γ40.9203
1.55
γ50.1349
0.22
γ6-1.4169
-2.56**
γ72.4926
4.92***
γ8-2.4230
-5.58***
γ91.6569
3.81***
γ10-1.0237
-2.46**

Persistence:

0.547

Half-life:

1 days