V-Lab
ChronoScale Holdings Corp Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026
1 Day
138.59%
decreased by 24.34%
1 Week
147.56%
decreased by 15.37%
1 Month
152.16%
decreased by 10.77%
Analysis last updated: Friday, July 24, 2026 at 09:17 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 16, 2014 to Jul 24, 2026Model Insight
This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so volatility mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 1 trading day.
τ
Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.1684 | 5.20*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2913 | 4.50*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.2526 | 3.08*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=10
| γ1 | -0.5745 | -1.12 |
| γ2 | 1.3808 | 1.83* |
| γ3 | -1.5203 | -3.05*** |
| γ4 | 0.9730 | 1.67* |
| γ5 | 0.0476 | 0.08 |
| γ6 | -1.3108 | -2.42** |
| γ7 | 2.4128 | 4.82*** |
| γ8 | -2.4091 | -5.59*** |
| γ9 | 1.6956 | 3.98*** |
| γ10 | -1.0705 | -2.62*** |
Persistence:
0.544
Half-life:
1 days
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