V-Lab
ChronoScale Holdings Corp GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026
1 Day
187.51%
decreased by 23.05%
1 Week
180.03%
decreased by 30.53%
1 Month
158.35%
decreased by 52.21%
Analysis last updated: Friday, July 24, 2026 at 09:18 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 16, 2014 to Jul 24, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 10 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 10 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 3.11 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.
𝑓
GAS-GARCH-T Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 49.3252 | 4.14*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1466 | 18.59*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9355 | 60.30*** |
ν DF Student-t tail thickness | 3.1132 | 12.55*** |
Persistence:
0.936
Half-life:
10 days
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