Skip to main content
V-Lab

Zhongchao Inc GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, August 25th, 2026

1 Day

120.25%

decreased by 23.17%

1 Week

121.73%

decreased by 21.69%

1 Month

127.25%

decreased by 16.17%

Analysis last updated: Monday, August 24, 2026 at 09:19 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Zhongchao Inc GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Feb 24, 2020 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.993, volatility shocks have a half-life of 101 trading days (~0.4 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 2.54 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

161.9907
6.55***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1405
74.00***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9931
1,088.96***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

2.5396
145.99***

Persistence:

0.993

Half-life:

101 days