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V-Lab

Zhongchao Inc Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, August 25th, 2026

1 Day

261.74%

decreased by 1.21%

1 Week

291.67%

increased by 28.72%

1 Month

319.23%

increased by 56.28%

Analysis last updated: Monday, August 24, 2026 at 09:19 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Zhongchao Inc S0GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Feb 24, 2020 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so volatility mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 2 trading days.

τ

Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.1183
3.33***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1627
3.38***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.5727
3.94***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=10
γ17.5773
1.68*
γ2-13.1614
-1.77*
γ311.3766
2.34**
γ4-10.8098
-2.14**
γ57.1605
1.03
γ61.1643
0.22
γ7-7.9988
-2.87***
γ85.1456
1.70*
γ93.3524
0.82
γ10-6.6283
-2.11**

Persistence:

0.735

Half-life:

2 days