V-Lab
Zhongchao Inc MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, August 25th, 2026
1 Day
283.33%
decreased by 2.02%
1 Week
360.48%
increased by 75.13%
1 Month
469.89%
increased by 184.54%
Analysis last updated: Monday, August 24, 2026 at 09:19 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Feb 24, 2020 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 2 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 2 days.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 41 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1772 | 5.23*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.5766 | 13.54*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0113 | -0.27 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 10.0000 | 0.67 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 1.0000 | 1.58 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
Persistence:
0.748
Half-life:
2 days
Other Zhongchao Inc Analyses
Other MF2-GARCH Analyses on Equities