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V-Lab

Zhongchao Inc AGARCH Volatility Analysis

High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 12th, 2026

1 Day

198.04%

decreased by 28.34%

1 Week

209.41%

decreased by 16.97%

1 Month

260.91%

increased by 34.53%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 11, 2026 at 09:53 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Zhongchao Inc AGARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Feb 24, 2020 to Aug 7, 2026

Model Insight

Estimated persistence of 1.039 is at or above 1 (non-stationary): volatility shocks do not decay and the long-run variance is undefined, so long-horizon forecasts should be treated with caution.

σ

AGARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

2.8024
9.12***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2874
19.00***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7514
65.61***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0717
-0.16

Persistence:

1.039

Half-life:

-