Bitcoin Depot Inc AGARCH Volatility Analysis
Inactive
Last recorded values (Tuesday, August 25th, 2026):
1 Day
318.55%
1 Week
322.64%
1 Month
339.73%
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, September 2, 2026 at 05:48 PM UTC
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News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Feb 25, 2022 to Aug 24, 2026Model Insight
Estimated persistence of 1.012 is at or above 1 (non-stationary): volatility shocks do not decay and the long-run variance is undefined, so long-horizon forecasts should be treated with caution.
σ
AGARCH Model
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High persistence: persistence 1.012 ≥ 1, shocks do not decay
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 0.4480 | 0.95 |
| αARCH | 0.0969 | 2.07** |
| βGARCH | 0.9147 | 29.83*** |
| γleverage | -0.5587 | -1.13 |
1.012
Persistence-
Half-lifeσ
AGARCH Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.4480 | 0.95 |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0969 | 2.07** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9147 | 29.83*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.5587 | -1.13 |
Persistence:
1.012
Half-life:
-
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