Bitcoin Depot Inc GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis
Last recorded values (Tuesday, August 25th, 2026):
1 Day
613.36%
1 Week
611.41%
1 Month
603.73%
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, October 21, 2026 at 12:56 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Feb 25, 2022 to Aug 24, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.997, volatility shocks have a half-life of 217 trading days (~0.9 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 2.32 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.
GAS-GARCH-T Model
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| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωlong-run | 2.6011 | 2.74*** |
| αscore | 0.1077 | 13.24*** |
| βpersistence | 0.9968 | 713.03*** |
| νDF | 2.3152 | 264.02*** |
0.997
Persistence217d
Half-lifeGAS-GARCH-T Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω long-run Long-run variance given a price move | 2.6011 | 2.74*** |
α score Weight on the scaled score | 0.1077 | 13.24*** |
β persistence Volatility persistence | 0.9968 | 713.03*** |
ν DF Student-t tail thickness | 2.3152 | 264.02*** |
Persistence:
0.997
Half-life:
217 days
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