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V-Lab

PMV Pharmaceuticals Inc AGARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 17th, 2026

1 Day

62.83%

decreased by 2.51%

1 Week

68.87%

increased by 3.53%

1 Month

74.14%

increased by 8.80%

Analysis last updated: Friday, August 14, 2026 at 10:00 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of PMV Pharmaceuticals Inc AGARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Sep 25, 2020 to Aug 14, 2026

Model Insight

The news-impact curve is shifted (γ = -1.40) so that positive returns raise next-day volatility more than negative returns of the same size. Volatility rises more after gains than after losses, the reverse of the usual leverage effect and rare among risky assets.

σ

AGARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

6.0908
12.69***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2195
14.24***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.4977
17.32***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-1.3998
-8.01***

Persistence:

0.717

Half-life:

2 days