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Semilux International Ltd -Redh GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, August 4th, 2026

1 Day

3,489.97%

decreased by 1,016.34%

1 Week

3,477.78%

decreased by 1,028.53%

1 Month

3,429.73%

decreased by 1,076.58%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 4, 2026 at 09:24 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

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graph of Semilux International Ltd -Redh GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Apr 28, 2022 to Jul 24, 2026

Model Insight

The estimated Student-t degrees of freedom v = 2.02 sit at the infinite-variance boundary (v → 2): the model is attributing extreme moves to heavy tails rather than to volatility, so the volatility scale is unreliable here. See the boundary-parameters flag.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

16.7775
9.73***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1596
81.10***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9965
2,783.52***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

2.0193

Persistence:

0.997

Half-life:

198 days