V-Lab
Semilux International Ltd -Redh GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, August 11th, 2026
1 Day
8,073.97%
decreased by 2,358.44%
1 Week
8,048.72%
decreased by 2,383.69%
1 Month
7,949.03%
decreased by 2,483.38%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 11, 2026 at 09:12 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Apr 28, 2022 to Aug 7, 2026Model Insight
The estimated Student-t degrees of freedom v = 2.00 sit at the infinite-variance boundary (v → 2): the model is attributing extreme moves to heavy tails rather than to volatility, so the volatility scale is unreliable here. See the boundary-parameters flag.
𝑓
GAS-GARCH-T Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 179.4571 | 9.97*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1593 | 81.63*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9969 | 3,184.88*** |
ν DF Student-t tail thickness | 2.0020 |
Persistence:
0.997
Half-life:
221 days
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