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Semilux International Ltd -Redh GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, August 11th, 2026

1 Day

8,073.97%

decreased by 2,358.44%

1 Week

8,048.72%

decreased by 2,383.69%

1 Month

7,949.03%

decreased by 2,483.38%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 11, 2026 at 09:12 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

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graph of Semilux International Ltd -Redh GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Apr 28, 2022 to Aug 7, 2026

Model Insight

The estimated Student-t degrees of freedom v = 2.00 sit at the infinite-variance boundary (v → 2): the model is attributing extreme moves to heavy tails rather than to volatility, so the volatility scale is unreliable here. See the boundary-parameters flag.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

179.4571
9.97***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1593
81.63***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9969
3,184.88***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

2.0020

Persistence:

0.997

Half-life:

221 days