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V-Lab

AGNT Inc MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 10th, 2026

1 Day

67.10%

increased by 10.34%

1 Week

65.50%

increased by 8.74%

1 Month

65.14%

increased by 8.38%

Analysis last updated: Friday, August 7, 2026 at 09:33 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of AGNT Inc MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 29, 2014 to Aug 7, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 2 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 2 days.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

96
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1686
19.50***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.5182
35.23***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0167
-1.34
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

4.9792
2.24**
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.6738
7.90***
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.0440
0.30

Persistence:

0.678

Half-life:

2 days