V-Lab
AGNT Inc MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026
1 Day
75.23%
decreased by 8.57%
1 Week
69.97%
decreased by 13.83%
1 Month
65.62%
decreased by 18.18%
Analysis last updated: Friday, July 24, 2026 at 09:28 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 29, 2014 to Jul 24, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 2 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 2 days.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 96 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1690 | 19.52*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.5184 | 35.35*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0162 | -1.29 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 4.9639 | 2.24** |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.6728 | 7.88*** |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.0462 | 0.31 |
Persistence:
0.679
Half-life:
2 days
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