V-Lab
AGNT Inc MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026
1 Day
62.64%
decreased by 8.20%
1 Week
63.63%
decreased by 7.21%
1 Month
65.38%
decreased by 5.46%
Analysis last updated: Friday, August 21, 2026 at 09:33 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 29, 2014 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 2 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 2 days.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 96 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1670 | 19.35*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.5195 | 35.43*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0157 | -1.26 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 5.0071 | 2.27** |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.6780 | 7.94*** |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.0377 | 0.26 |
Persistence:
0.679
Half-life:
2 days
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