V-Lab
AGNT Inc GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026
1 Day
63.63%
decreased by 0.55%
1 Week
63.66%
decreased by 0.52%
1 Month
63.79%
decreased by 0.39%
Analysis last updated: Friday, August 21, 2026 at 09:33 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 29, 2014 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.992, volatility shocks have a half-life of 91 trading days (~0.4 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.1308 | 6.51*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0218 | 4.44*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9738 | 287.35*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0065 | -1.41 |
Persistence:
0.992
Half-life:
91 days
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