V-Lab
AGNT Inc GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026
1 Day
64.54%
increased by 0.26%
1 Week
64.56%
increased by 0.28%
1 Month
64.65%
increased by 0.37%
Analysis last updated: Friday, July 24, 2026 at 09:27 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 29, 2014 to Jul 24, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.992, volatility shocks have a half-life of 91 trading days (~0.4 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.1321 | 6.54*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0220 | 4.45*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9736 | 283.77*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0064 | -1.39 |
Persistence:
0.992
Half-life:
91 days
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