QVC Group Inc MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, July 13th, 2026
1 Day
216.41%
decreased by 7.70%
1 Week
228.57%
increased by 4.46%
1 Month
238.78%
increased by 14.67%
Analysis last updated: Saturday, July 11, 2026 at 09:28 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
May 5, 2006 to Jul 10, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 2 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 2 days.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 66 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2711 | 14.03*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.4495 | 21.20*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0340 | 1.18 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.1395 | 1.58 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.1376 | 1.53 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.8624 | 9.09*** |
Persistence:
0.738
Half-life:
2 days
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