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V-Lab
V-Lab

Regentis Biomaterials Ltd MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Friday, October 23rd, 2026

1 Day

94.22%

increased by 75.88%

1 Week

99.54%

increased by 81.20%

1 Month

130.37%

increased by 112.03%

Analysis last updated: Thursday, October 22, 2026 at 09:51 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/22/2024

to

10/22/2026

6M ·

All

graph of Regentis Biomaterials Ltd MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Dec 4, 2025 to Oct 16, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 13 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 13 days.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

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Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 13-day half-life
ParamValuet-stat
mwindow41
αARCH0.5126
βGARCH0.2466
γleverage0.3747
λ₁tau intercept0.1107
λ₂forecast adj.0.0188
λ₃tau persistence0.1754

0.947

Persistence

13d

Half-life
σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

41
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.5126
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.2466
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.3747
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.1107
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0188
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.1754

Persistence:

0.947

Half-life:

13 days