V-Lab
Regentis Biomaterials Ltd MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026
1 Day
9.50%
1 Week
75,811,437,659.50%
1 Month
3,743,222,675,716,741,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000.00%
Analysis last updated: Friday, July 24, 2026 at 11:09 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Dec 4, 2025 to Jul 24, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.994, volatility shocks have a half-life of 122 trading days (~0.5 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
Inverse leverage: volatility responds almost entirely to positive returns
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 46 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.4959 | 20.87*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7464 | 60.15*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.4959 | -20.87*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.0000 | 0.01 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0005 | 0.67 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.0013 | 0.45 |
Persistence:
0.994
Half-life:
122 days
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