Regentis Biomaterials Ltd MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Friday, October 23rd, 2026
1 Day
94.22%
increased by 75.88%
1 Week
99.54%
increased by 81.20%
1 Month
130.37%
increased by 112.03%
Analysis last updated: Thursday, October 22, 2026 at 09:51 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Dec 4, 2025 to Oct 16, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 13 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 13 days.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 13-day half-life
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| mwindow | 41 | |
| αARCH | 0.5126 | |
| βGARCH | 0.2466 | |
| γleverage | 0.3747 | |
| λ₁tau intercept | 0.1107 | |
| λ₂forecast adj. | 0.0188 | |
| λ₃tau persistence | 0.1754 |
0.947
Persistence13d
Half-lifeσ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 41 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.5126 | |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.2466 | |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.3747 | |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.1107 | |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0188 | |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.1754 |
Persistence:
0.947
Half-life:
13 days
Other Regentis Biomaterials Ltd Analyses
Other MF2-GARCH Analyses on Equities