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V-Lab

Regentis Biomaterials Ltd Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026

1 Day

68.95%

unchanged at 0.00%

1 Week

68.95%

unchanged at 0.00%

1 Month

68.95%

unchanged at 0.00%

Analysis last updated: Friday, August 21, 2026 at 11:17 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

All

graph of Regentis Biomaterials Ltd S0GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Dec 4, 2025 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so volatility mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 2 trading days.

τ

Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.4422
1.52
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0000
0.00
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.6791
1.40
γi Spline Coefficients
K=7
γ1120.2603
0.73
γ2-150.5640
-0.63
γ3-127.2661
-0.67
γ4454.6611
2.74***
γ5-300.8130
-2.40**
γ6-345.1767
-2.35**
γ7511.7909
4.05***

Persistence:

0.679

Half-life:

2 days