V-Lab
Regentis Biomaterials Ltd Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026
1 Day
138.73%
unchanged at 0.00%
1 Week
138.73%
unchanged at 0.00%
1 Month
138.73%
unchanged at 0.00%
Analysis last updated: Friday, July 24, 2026 at 11:09 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Dec 4, 2025 to Jul 24, 2026Model Insight
This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so volatility mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 4 trading days.
τ
Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.4213 | 1.87* |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8306 | 2.91*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=8
| γ1 | 41.0681 | 0.15 |
| γ2 | 83.5493 | 0.18 |
| γ3 | -352.7767 | -0.98 |
| γ4 | 270.0562 | 1.08 |
| γ5 | 127.7097 | 0.54 |
| γ6 | 118.1175 | 0.38 |
| γ7 | -944.6831 | -2.29** |
| γ8 | 921.3448 | 2.91*** |
Persistence:
0.831
Half-life:
4 days
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