Regentis Biomaterials Ltd Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Friday, October 23rd, 2026
1 Day
74.89%
unchanged at 0.00%
1 Week
74.89%
unchanged at 0.00%
1 Month
74.89%
unchanged at 0.00%
Analysis last updated: Thursday, October 22, 2026 at 09:51 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Dec 4, 2025 to Oct 16, 2026Model Insight
This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so volatility mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 2 trading days.
τ
Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
Time-varying baseline: volatility reverts to a slowly-shifting spline trend
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 0.5083 | 1.44 |
| αARCH | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
| βGARCH | 0.6761 | 1.19 |
Spline Coefficients
K=6
| γ1 | 88.8147 | 0.85 |
| γ2 | -232.4405 | -1.63 |
| γ3 | 400.6636 | 4.89*** |
| γ4 | -528.6041 | -7.01*** |
| γ5 | 389.0363 | 5.67*** |
| γ6 | -125.4694 | -2.59*** |
0.676
Persistence2d
Half-lifeτ
Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.5083 | 1.44 |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.6761 | 1.19 |
Spline Coefficients
K=6
| γ1 | 88.8147 | 0.85 |
| γ2 | -232.4405 | -1.63 |
| γ3 | 400.6636 | 4.89*** |
| γ4 | -528.6041 | -7.01*** |
| γ5 | 389.0363 | 5.67*** |
| γ6 | -125.4694 | -2.59*** |
Persistence:
0.676
Half-life:
2 days
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