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V-Lab

Regentis Biomaterials Ltd Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 12th, 2026

1 Day

89.07%

unchanged at 0.00%

1 Week

89.07%

unchanged at 0.00%

1 Month

89.07%

unchanged at 0.00%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 11, 2026 at 10:28 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

All

graph of Regentis Biomaterials Ltd SGARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Dec 4, 2025 to Aug 7, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so volatility mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 2 trading days.

τ

Spline-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.3274
1.40
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0000
0.00
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.6308
1.05
γi Spline Coefficients
K=7
γ121.7683
0.12
γ2-4.4259
-0.02
γ3-201.0632
-0.92
γ4413.6954
2.21**
γ5-63.4567
-0.32
γ6-636.8528
-2.24**
γ7665.7085
1.88*

Persistence:

0.631

Half-life:

2 days