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V-Lab

MindForge Inc Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Friday, July 24th, 2026

1 Day

209.12%

decreased by 68.72%

1 Week

208.12%

decreased by 69.72%

1 Month

207.71%

decreased by 70.13%

Analysis last updated: Friday, July 24, 2026 at 02:19 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of MindForge Inc S0GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Mar 29, 2024 to Jul 17, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so volatility mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 1 trading day.

τ

Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.7837
1.85*
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1868
3.04***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.2547
1.74*
γi Spline Coefficients
K=10
γ171.3421
1.69*
γ2-143.9946
-2.34**
γ3108.5559
3.43***
γ4-39.6254
-1.99**
γ5-10.8361
-0.49
γ655.4801
2.02**
γ7-106.8857
-3.47***
γ8141.1061
3.49***
γ9-103.6300
-2.13**
γ1021.9659
0.68

Persistence:

0.442

Half-life:

1 days