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V-Lab
V-Lab

MindForge Inc MEM Volatility Analysis

High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, September 16th, 2026

1 Day

172.95%

decreased by 14.97%

1 Week

175.12%

decreased by 12.80%

1 Month

183.57%

decreased by 4.35%

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, September 16, 2026 at 02:33 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of MindForge Inc MEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Mar 29, 2024 to Sep 11, 2026

Model Insight

Estimated persistence of 1.000 is at or above 1 (non-stationary): volatility shocks do not decay and the long-run variance is undefined, so long-horizon forecasts should be treated with caution.

μ

MEM Model

Tap to view equation

High persistence: persistence 1.000 ≥ 1, shocks do not decay
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst1.5022
0.85
αARCH0.1772
2.59***
βGARCH0.8228
10.48***

1.000

Persistence

-

Half-life
μ

MEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.5022
0.85
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1772
2.59***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8228
10.48***

Persistence:

1.000

Half-life:

-