V-Lab
Hovnanian Enterprises Inc MEM Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 12th, 2026
1 Day
50.55%
increased by 0.33%
1 Week
50.91%
increased by 0.69%
1 Month
52.24%
increased by 2.02%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 11, 2026 at 10:20 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Sep 14, 1992 to Aug 7, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 61 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 61 days.
μ
MEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.1887 | 7.35*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1073 | 35.68*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8814 | 371.75*** |
Persistence:
0.989
Half-life:
61 days
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