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V-Lab

Hovnanian Enterprises Inc MEM Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 12th, 2026

1 Day

50.55%

increased by 0.33%

1 Week

50.91%

increased by 0.69%

1 Month

52.24%

increased by 2.02%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 11, 2026 at 10:20 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Hovnanian Enterprises Inc MEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Sep 14, 1992 to Aug 7, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 61 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 61 days.

μ

MEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.1887
7.35***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1073
35.68***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8814
371.75***

Persistence:

0.989

Half-life:

61 days