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V-Lab

Hovnanian Enterprises Inc GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, August 25th, 2026

1 Day

70.41%

increased by 0.13%

1 Week

70.38%

increased by 0.10%

1 Month

70.24%

decreased by 0.04%

Analysis last updated: Monday, August 24, 2026 at 09:44 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Hovnanian Enterprises Inc GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Sep 14, 1992 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.992, volatility shocks have a half-life of 84 trading days (~0.3 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

Leverage: Negative returns increase volatility 53% more than positive returns

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.1519
17.15***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0482
19.57***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9308
531.89***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0255
5.18***

Persistence:

0.992

Half-life:

84 days