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V-Lab

Merck & Co Inc GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026

1 Day

27.43%

decreased by 0.54%

1 Week

27.39%

decreased by 0.58%

1 Month

27.22%

decreased by 0.75%

Analysis last updated: Friday, July 24, 2026 at 10:45 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Merck & Co Inc GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 2, 1990 to Jul 24, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 391% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0550
11.89***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0124
5.78***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9431
393.63***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0485
11.95***

Persistence:

0.980

Half-life:

34 days