V-Lab
Merck & Co Inc GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 26th, 2026
1 Day
30.55%
increased by 0.13%
1 Week
30.41%
decreased by 0.01%
1 Month
29.91%
decreased by 0.51%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 25, 2026 at 09:47 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 2, 1990 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 362% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0501 | 11.75*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0122 | 5.96*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9477 | 418.02*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0440 | 11.76*** |
Persistence:
0.982
Half-life:
38 days
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