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V-Lab

Merck & Co Inc GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 26th, 2026

1 Day

30.55%

increased by 0.13%

1 Week

30.41%

decreased by 0.01%

1 Month

29.91%

decreased by 0.51%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 25, 2026 at 09:47 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Merck & Co Inc GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 2, 1990 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 362% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0501
11.75***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0122
5.96***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9477
418.02***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0440
11.76***

Persistence:

0.982

Half-life:

38 days