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V-Lab

Applied Materials Inc GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, September 21st, 2026

1 Day

62.11%

increased by 0.89%

1 Week

62.06%

increased by 0.84%

1 Month

61.85%

increased by 0.63%

Analysis last updated: Friday, September 18, 2026 at 10:06 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Applied Materials Inc GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 2, 1990 to Sep 18, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.996, volatility shocks have a half-life of 177 trading days (~0.7 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

Leverage: Negative returns increase volatility 115% more than positive returns

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

High persistence: persistence 0.996, shock half-life ~177 daysLeverage: Negative returns increase volatility 115% more than positive returns
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.0467
3.23***
αARCH0.0274
5.21***
βGARCH0.9529
200.81***
γleverage0.0316
2.45**

0.996

Persistence

177d

Half-life
σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0467
3.23***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0274
5.21***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9529
200.81***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0316
2.45**

Persistence:

0.996

Half-life:

177 days