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V-Lab

Applied Materials Inc GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026

1 Day

73.71%

decreased by 1.64%

1 Week

73.59%

decreased by 1.76%

1 Month

73.12%

decreased by 2.23%

Analysis last updated: Friday, August 21, 2026 at 09:34 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Applied Materials Inc GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 2, 1990 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.996, volatility shocks have a half-life of 184 trading days (~0.7 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

Leverage: Negative returns increase volatility 116% more than positive returns

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0458
12.72***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0273
20.82***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9532
805.07***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0315
9.80***

Persistence:

0.996

Half-life:

184 days