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V-Lab

Applied Materials Inc GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026

1 Day

77.84%

increased by 0.50%

1 Week

77.69%

increased by 0.35%

1 Month

77.13%

decreased by 0.21%

Analysis last updated: Friday, July 24, 2026 at 09:28 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Applied Materials Inc GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 2, 1990 to Jul 24, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.996, volatility shocks have a half-life of 185 trading days (~0.7 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

Leverage: Negative returns increase volatility 114% more than positive returns

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0455
12.72***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0273
20.83***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9534
805.22***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0311
9.70***

Persistence:

0.996

Half-life:

185 days