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V-Lab

Applied Materials Inc MEM Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, October 12th, 2026

1 Day

42.46%

decreased by 0.42%

1 Week

42.63%

decreased by 0.25%

1 Month

43.27%

increased by 0.39%

Analysis last updated: Friday, October 9, 2026 at 11:38 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/09/2024

to

10/09/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Applied Materials Inc MEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 2, 1990 to Oct 9, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.993, volatility shocks have a half-life of 102 trading days (~0.4 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

μ

MEM Model

Tap to view equation

High persistence: persistence 0.993, shock half-life ~102 days
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.0771
1.44
αARCH0.1394
12.22***
βGARCH0.8539
104.86***

0.993

Persistence

102d

Half-life
μ

MEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0771
1.44
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1394
12.22***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8539
104.86***

Persistence:

0.993

Half-life:

102 days