V-Lab
Azio AI Holdings Inc MEM Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, September 16th, 2026
1 Day
82.86%
decreased by 4.65%
1 Week
93.44%
increased by 5.93%
1 Month
120.13%
increased by 32.62%
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, September 16, 2026 at 02:21 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jun 15, 2017 to Sep 11, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 16 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 16 days.
μ
MEM Model
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Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 16-day half-life
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 5.0000 | 1.88* |
| αARCH | 0.2725 | 5.34*** |
| βGARCH | 0.6855 | 16.00*** |
0.958
Persistence16d
Half-lifeμ
MEM Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 5.0000 | 1.88* |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2725 | 5.34*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.6855 | 16.00*** |
Persistence:
0.958
Half-life:
16 days
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