V-Lab
Azio AI Holdings Inc AGARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Thursday, August 6th, 2026
1 Day
108.15%
decreased by 13.21%
1 Week
119.12%
decreased by 2.24%
1 Month
133.79%
increased by 12.43%
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 5, 2026 at 09:20 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jun 15, 2017 to Jul 31, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 4 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 4 days.
σ
AGARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 14.0486 | 19.42*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2756 | 20.03*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.5487 | 42.53*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0386 | -0.15 |
Persistence:
0.824
Half-life:
4 days
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