V-Lab
Azio AI Holdings Inc GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, September 15th, 2026
1 Day
87.59%
decreased by 1.43%
1 Week
95.87%
increased by 6.85%
1 Month
115.64%
increased by 26.62%
Analysis last updated: Monday, September 14, 2026 at 09:20 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jun 15, 2017 to Sep 11, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 11 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 11 days.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
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Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 11-day half-life
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 5.0000 | 3.38*** |
| αARCH | 0.1671 | 2.45** |
| βGARCH | 0.7739 | 16.63*** |
| γleverage | -0.0004 | 0.00 |
0.941
Persistence11d
Half-lifeσ
GJR-GARCH Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 5.0000 | 3.38*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1671 | 2.45** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7739 | 16.63*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0004 | 0.00 |
Persistence:
0.941
Half-life:
11 days
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