Azio AI Holdings Inc GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, October 26th, 2026
1 Day
94.67%
decreased by 4.86%
1 Week
101.60%
increased by 2.07%
1 Month
118.52%
increased by 18.99%
Analysis last updated: Friday, October 23, 2026 at 09:48 PM UTC
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News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jun 15, 2017 to Oct 23, 2026Boundary Parameters
Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 11 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 11 days.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
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Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 11-day half-life
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 5.0000 | 3.41*** |
| αARCH | 0.1675 | 2.46** |
| βGARCH | 0.7726 | 16.47*** |
| γleverage | -0.0003 | 0.00 |
0.940
Persistence11d
Half-lifeσ
GJR-GARCH Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 5.0000 | 3.41*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1675 | 2.46** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7726 | 16.47*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0003 | 0.00 |
Persistence:
0.940
Half-life:
11 days
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