V-Lab
Azio AI Holdings Inc Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, September 15th, 2026
1 Day
78.39%
increased by 0.19%
1 Week
89.66%
increased by 11.46%
1 Month
104.70%
increased by 26.50%
Analysis last updated: Monday, September 14, 2026 at 09:20 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jun 15, 2017 to Sep 11, 2026Model Insight
This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so volatility mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 4 trading days.
τ
Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
Time-varying baseline: volatility reverts to a slowly-shifting spline trend
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 1.4930 | 6.48*** |
| αARCH | 0.2464 | 4.16*** |
| βGARCH | 0.5858 | 6.97*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | 0.0104 | 3.28*** |
0.832
Persistence4d
Half-lifeτ
Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.4930 | 6.48*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2464 | 4.16*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.5858 | 6.97*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | 0.0104 | 3.28*** |
Persistence:
0.832
Half-life:
4 days
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