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V-Lab

Azio AI Holdings Inc Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, September 15th, 2026

1 Day

78.39%

increased by 0.19%

1 Week

89.66%

increased by 11.46%

1 Month

104.70%

increased by 26.50%

Analysis last updated: Monday, September 14, 2026 at 09:20 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Azio AI Holdings Inc S0GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jun 15, 2017 to Sep 11, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so volatility mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 4 trading days.

τ

Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Time-varying baseline: volatility reverts to a slowly-shifting spline trend
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst1.4930
6.48***
αARCH0.2464
4.16***
βGARCH0.5858
6.97***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ10.0104
3.28***

0.832

Persistence

4d

Half-life
τ

Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.4930
6.48***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2464
4.16***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.5858
6.97***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ10.0104
3.28***

Persistence:

0.832

Half-life:

4 days