V-Lab
Onterris Inc AGARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, August 17th, 2026
1 Day
62.63%
increased by 0.54%
1 Week
64.78%
increased by 2.69%
1 Month
65.23%
increased by 3.14%
Analysis last updated: Friday, August 14, 2026 at 10:46 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jul 23, 2020 to Aug 14, 2026Model Insight
The news-impact curve is shifted (γ = 3.61) so that negative returns raise next-day volatility more than positive returns of the same size. The gap is largest for small shocks and narrows for larger ones.
σ
AGARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 14.6618 | 39.26*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0765 | 7.38*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 3.6099 | 6.36*** |
Persistence:
0.076
Half-life:
0 days
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