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V-Lab

Niki BioSolutions Inc AGARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, September 16th, 2026

1 Day

99.78%

decreased by 8.82%

1 Week

118.92%

increased by 10.32%

1 Month

146.38%

increased by 37.78%

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, September 16, 2026 at 02:14 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Niki BioSolutions Inc AGARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Dec 18, 2018 to Sep 11, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 4 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 4 days.

σ

AGARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 4-day half-life
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst15.0000
2.70***
αARCH0.4025
3.08***
βGARCH0.4542
7.18***
γleverage0.7753
0.34

0.857

Persistence

4d

Half-life
σ

AGARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

15.0000
2.70***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.4025
3.08***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.4542
7.18***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.7753
0.34

Persistence:

0.857

Half-life:

4 days