V-Lab
Cheetah NET Suply CN SER Inc MEM Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, September 16th, 2026
1 Day
1,021.31%
decreased by 51.50%
1 Week
1,018.26%
decreased by 54.55%
1 Month
1,006.30%
decreased by 66.51%
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, September 16, 2026 at 02:25 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Aug 1, 2023 to Sep 11, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.996, volatility shocks have a half-life of 165 trading days (~0.7 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
μ
MEM Model
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High persistence: persistence 0.996, shock half-life ~165 days
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 5.0000 | 0.94 |
| αARCH | 0.2374 | 2.22** |
| βGARCH | 0.7584 | 13.65*** |
0.996
Persistence165d
Half-lifeμ
MEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 5.0000 | 0.94 |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2374 | 2.22** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7584 | 13.65*** |
Persistence:
0.996
Half-life:
165 days
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